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Market Watch: April 6

Apr 11, 2023 | 10:22 AM

Big Picture

Investors ponder over economic data

North American equity markets finished mixed on Monday as investors considered how lower oil production might affect inflation and central bank actions. By the close, the Dow gained 327, the S&P 500 rose by 15, while the Nasdaq lost 32 points. In Canada, the TSX added 178 points with support of Energy sector.

On Tuesday, U.S. equity markets ended lower after JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon indicated troubles in the U.S. financial services sector might not be over. By the day’s close, the Dow lost 199 points, the S&P 500 fell by 24, and the Nasdaq dropped 63. In Canada, the TSX fell by 3 points.

North American markets fell on Wednesday as investors digested relatively weak economic data and pondered the possibility of a global recession. The Dow climbed 80 points by close, while the S&P 500 fell by 10 and Nasdaq declined by 129 points, respectively. In Canada, the TSX saw a 116-point fall led by Information Technology sector.

North American Indexes finish mixed

For the three trading days covered in this report, the Dow gained 209 points to close at 33,483, the S&P 500 lost 19 points to settle at 4,090, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell by 225 points to close at 11,997. In Canada, the TSX climbed 60 points to end at 20,160.

Strategy

Job openings fall below 10 million for the first time since May 2021

U.S. job openings fell by 632,000 in February to 9.9 million, lower than the median consensus estimate of 10.5 million, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Industries that saw the largest declines include professional/business services (-278,000), healthcare (-150,000), and transportation/warehousing (-145,000). The total separations rate, including voluntary quits and layoffs, was little changed at 3.7 per cent. Within separations, voluntary quits increased slightly to 2.6 per cent from 2.5 per cent. Quits increased in professional/business services (+115,000), accommodation/food services (+93,000), wholesale trade (+31,000), and education (+18,000).

Meanwhile, the layoffs rate fell to 1.0 per cent from 1.1 per cent previously. In total, 1.5 million people were let go from their place of employment compared to 1.4 million this time last year. Although the decline in total openings is material, the U.S. job market remains tight. Total vacancies are approximately two times higher than their long-term historical average, the quits rate is elevated, and layoffs are relatively muted. Although some softness in labour market conditions can be seen in manufacturing, as per the latest ISM survey’s employment indicator, which fell further into contraction territory, hiring in services remains robust. Thursday’s ISM report will provide a more up-to-date picture of service sector hiring. Additionally, the BLS will release its monthly non-farm payrolls report this Friday.

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