Market Watch- Nov. 23, 2018
U.S. Markets Surrender 2018 Gains; Oil Prices Remain Volatile
It was a rough start to the week for North American equity markets (and global markets generally) as worries over economic growth prompted investors to retreat to safe-haven currencies and U.S. Treasuries. The Dow fell nearly 400 points on Monday and an additional 550 on Tuesday, as lacklustre guidance from the tech and consumer discretionary sectors weighed on markets, essentially wiping out gains for 2018. Continuing uncertainty over Brexit and open hostility between the U.S. and China at the recent APEC Summit in Papua New Guinea did little to calm investor fears over faltering global growth. Adding to the instability were oil prices, which slid as much as 7% Tuesday over fears about slowing global demand and surging U.S. production. Falling crude prices dragged down the TSX, which surrendered 274 points over Monday and Tuesday but recovered ground Wednesday as oil prices rebounded. Meanwhile, on the U.S. economic front, declining consumer sentiment and an increase in initial jobless claims on Wednesday added to signs of potential trouble for the fast-growing economy. Another sign of possible concern: pre-existing home sales posted their largest annual decline since 2014 in October, as the housing market continues to be adversely affected by higher mortgage rates, which are making home ownership less affordable for many. Finally, durable-goods orders decreased 4.4% from the prior month in October – the biggest monthly decline in new orders since July 2017, and much steeper than the 2.6% drop analysts had predicted. Despite the selloff in stocks and corporate bonds that accelerated Tuesday, the Fed has signaled that another rate hike of 25 basis points is likely when it meets again in December
(Big Picture – By Bill Curry)
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