Alberta Premier Jason Kenney shared updated COVID-19 modelling on Tuesday.

By Troy Gillard

Cases approach 5,000

Province says updated COVID-19 modelling shows measures are working

Apr 28, 2020 | 4:21 PM

Alberta reported 154 cases of COVID-19 on Tuesday, bringing the total to 4,850.

The number of recoveries in Alberta has risen to 1,800, while the death toll from the virus has risen by five to 80.

The number of cases in Red Deer remains 35 (five active, 30 recovered), and Central zone cases remain at 84, same as Monday.

Alberta Premier Jason Kenney shared updated data and modelling on Tuesday that shows “our efforts to reduce the peak of the virus are working.”

He added the number of Albertans hospitalized and in intensive care is well below what was originally projected.

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‘While this is good news, we must remain vigilant. While we are a ways off of returning to our normal way of life, we are working as a government around the clock on our phased approach to relaunch.”

The health measures Kenney said they will keep an eye include hospitalization and ICU admissions, the rate of growth of cases as a percentage of testing.

The updated probable scenario has 596 people requiring in hospital at the peak of the virus. That’s down from 818 in the original modelling. The updated elevated scenario sees a drop to 745, compared to 1,570 in the original modelling.

(Source: Alberta Government)

Kenney hinted that the phased plan to relaunch Alberta’s economy, which he plans to outline this week, will be similar, but not identical, to Saskatchewan’s recently announced approach.

“I do hope we will be able to begin reopening aspects of social and economic life currently being suspended in the month of May,” the premier says. “Hope is coming because later this week we will begin announcing measures to begin gradually (and) prudently move towards more economic and social activity. It has to be done in a measured way. To quote Premier (Scott) Moe (of Saskatchewan), it’s going to be more like a dimmer switch than an on-off switch.”

Kenney added, “It is essential Albertans continue to exercise common sense and follow public health guidance so we can get the economy moving again as quickly as possible.”

“Today, I am asking you to celebrate the success we have had by holding on just a little longer,” urged Dr. Deena Hinshaw, Alberta’s chief medical officer of health. “Our public health measures are working, and we need to keep them working.”